{"id":1385,"date":"2024-04-23T18:39:54","date_gmt":"2024-04-23T18:39:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/?p=1385"},"modified":"2024-04-23T18:39:54","modified_gmt":"2024-04-23T18:39:54","slug":"the-goldilocks-effect-phoenixs-spring-housing-market-hits-the-balance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/?p=1385","title":{"rendered":"The Goldilocks Effect: Phoenix&#8217;s Spring Housing Market Hits the Balance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We are now in the heart of the spring selling season and yet it doesn\u2019t feel like prime time.&nbsp; The market has been quieter than we had anticipated at the beginning of the year.&nbsp; The greater Phoenix market has drifted into a balance &#8211; as homes for sale have slowly accumulated and demand has waned under the pressure of rising interest rates.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The numbers below provided by Tom Ruff of the Stat as well as the Cromford Report \u2013 &nbsp;confirm 2024 first quarter lackluster numbers:&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 In the first quarter, demand was approximately 5% lower year over year.    (Note: 2023 was a very low volume market historically)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 In February and March, in terms of sales per day, there were 15 fewer    sales per day this year compared to last.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 Demand is down approximately 26.02% from the first quarter of 2020. (pre-COVID)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 Sales volume for Q1 2024 is down 31.61% from Q1 2021. (COVID buying frenzy)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 The median sales price is 5.65% higher year over year, home prices are stable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 Listings under contract are only down 6% compared to last year, but active listings are up 26%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 Flip sales are down 74% from 2 years ago and at a level comparable to 2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The luxury market is still holding up (although also not as strong as last year) as it is generally unaffected by interest rates.&nbsp; Additionally, builders have grown their market share by offering lower than market rates (i.e. bulk buying loan money).&nbsp; That strategy is paying off as new home market share is now 22.6%, while only 3 years ago they were less than 15% of the total units sold in residential homes &amp; townhouse\/condo sales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Takeaways:<\/strong>&nbsp; Sellers now are competing again for buyers especially against new builds and should look to their REALTOR\u00ae for advice on how to maximize time on market and net.&nbsp; Prices are holding at the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Buyers should be relieved to see more home choices than in years accompanied by stable pricing.&nbsp; Interest rate concerns can be addressed by rate buy downs (ask us!) or by purchasing a new build.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Whether buyer or seller \u2013 a quiet market does present opportunities.&nbsp; Contact us for ways to maximize your dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russell &amp; Wendy Shaw<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(mostly Wendy)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We are now in the heart of the spring selling season and yet it doesn\u2019t feel like prime time.&nbsp; The market has been quieter than we had anticipated at the beginning of the year.&nbsp; The greater Phoenix market has drifted into a balance &#8211; as homes for sale have slowly accumulated and demand has waned [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-real-estate-market"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1385"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1385\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1386,"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1385\/revisions\/1386"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nohasslelistingblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}